A data-based look at higher education enrollments, including IPEDS and National Student Clearninghouse data sets, to identify future trends
Dual Enrollment
+2
Nov 3, 2026
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3 min read
The 'undergrad enrollment holding steady' narrative misses some important data signals
Microcredentials
Oct 10, 2026
6 min read
Institutions kidding themselves, a rising tide lifting six boats, and denominators behaving badly
EdTech Research
+3
Oct 3, 2026
7 min read
What AI tutoring studies—and online enrollment numbers—actually tell us
Sep 30, 2026
US undergraduate enrollment is recovering, but a substantial portion of that recovery comes from high school students
OPM-Market
Sep 5, 2026
Academic program proliferation, false choices, and surprisingly boring EdTech deals
Online-education
+1
Aug 28, 2026
IPEDS data reveal whether online enrollment is driving institutional growth or replacing losses elsewhere
Regulatory Analysis
Aug 8, 2026
8 min read
Who creates value, who pays for it, and who gets to decide?
hei-finances
Aug 7, 2026
How demographic change and institutional competition are reshaping student opportunity
Aug 1, 2026
Announcing change is easier than supporting it
NC-SARA
Jul 9, 2026
International enrollments added to the dashboard, and President's Forum interview on NC-SARA analysis
Jun 18, 2026
1 min read
Two significant additions to the online tool available to On EdTech+ subscribers
Jun 15, 2026
4 min read
Fourteen years of IPEDS distance-education data, an NSC-based predictor, and every view downloadable — for On EdTech+ subscribers
LMS-Market
Jun 3, 2026
I realize now that I gave the same answer six times in a podcast interview.
Labor market outcomes
May 9, 2026
Students want certainty, higher education offers complexity
Apr 25, 2026
Bad baselines, bad models, and bad decisions
Apr 21, 2026
Going online has not fixed their enrollment challenges
Apr 9, 2026
9 min read
Two independent datasets complicate the "students choose local" mantra—and reveal 2020 as a structural turning point.
Mar 20, 2026
15 min read
NC-SARA data shows how large online institutions differ in in-state reliance and interstate reach
Mar 16, 2026
An On EdTech+ special report sharing data charts for all states (plus DC)
Mar 6, 2026
Calbright’s Cost Problem, Workforce Pell’s Fine Print, and Improving ED's Data
Feb 14, 2026
12 min read
Reality Bites - Microcredentials, Marketing Funnels, and Online Skepticism
Feb 13, 2026
Which states' students attend ASU Online, commentary from Russ Poulin, and the Gen AI connection to the graphics
14 min read
Using NC-SARA Fall 2024 data, we map which states retain, export, or lose fully online students—and what it means for policy and competition
Feb 4, 2026
Cross-state online expansion is part of a strategy - a view of the data
Jan 27, 2026
5 min read
Some states primarily extend offerings by online modalities, while others explicitly rely on importing students